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Those strike prices were substantially higher than the stock's price, which was trading between $10 to $16.50 that week. But what Sosnick found interesting was that the open interest went up faster for the $30 strike calls, signaling an expectation that the price would really rally this time. The table below shows the rise in open interest on strike calls of 20, 25, and 30 set to expire by May 17 and the price of the contracts. AdvertisementTom Sosnoff, the cofounder of Thinkorswim and Tastytrade, says there's probably a reasonable explanation behind the rise of open interest in GME. As for the rise of open interest on the 30-strike price, he attributes it to the cheapness of those contracts relative to the other strikes rather than a function of price prediction.
Persons: Keith Gill's, Roaring, Gill, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, GME, Tom Sosnoff, there's, you'd, Sosnoff Organizations: GameStop, Social, Interactive, Traders Locations: GME
Stock futures are near flat Monday night after the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed at an all-time high. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost just 27 points, while S&P 500 futures also sat near its flatline. Those moves come after a mixed day on Wall Street. But the blue-chip Dow slipped almost 200 points, or 0.5%. Monday's action follows a notable week on Wall Street amid renewed hopes about the state of inflation and monetary policy.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Dimon, Keith Buchanan, Christopher Waller, Tom Barkin, Raphael Bostic Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Palo Alto Networks, LSEG, Nvidia, JPMorgan, Globalt Investments, Federal, Richmond Fed, Atlanta Fed, Traders
US stocks rose as traders took in slightly cooler inflation figures. Consumer prices rose 3.4% year-per-year in April, down from the prior month's 3.5% increase. Still, investors have muted expectations for Fed rate cuts by the end of the year. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Wednesday as traders took in the latest inflation report, which showed prices cooled slightly in April. Falling inflation has fueled some hope the Fed is set to issue several interest rate cuts this year, which is bullish for stocks.
Persons: , Seema Shah, Sonu Varghese Organizations: Service, Treasury, Asset Management, Traders, Carson Group
Traders at JPMorgan broke down how they expect stocks will react to Wednesday's report, with a focus on core CPI month over month, based on six different scenarios: 40% chance — The reading rises 0.3%-0.35%: This is the most likely outcome, per JPMorgan traders. S & P 500 moves could range between a 0.5% loss and a 1% gain. 10% chance — Core inflation climbs more than 0.4%: The S & P 500 would drop 1.75% to 2.5% under such a hot report, JPMorgan traders think. 7.5% chance — Core CPI gains 0.2%-0.25%: A decline in housing cost increases along with lower core goods prices could make this outcome possible. It would also send the S & P 500 up 1.5% to 2%, JPMorgan traders said.
Persons: Dow Jones, Defensives outperforming Organizations: CPI, Traders, JPMorgan, of Labor Statistics
European stocks are heading for a lower open Tuesday as global investors await the latest U.S. inflation reports. April's consumer price index report is due out on Wednesday and economists expect that it rose 0.4% in April on a month-over-month basis, or 3.4% from 12 months earlier. Overnight, Asia-Pacific markets pared gains hours after opening higher on Tuesday as stocks on Wall Street stumbled Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping an eight-day winning streak. U.S. stock futures flickered near the flatline Monday evening as Wall Street braced itself for the release of the producer price index reading for April on Tuesday. Economists polled by Dow Jones anticipate that the PPI gained 0.3% from the previous month.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Traders, Federal, Dow Jones, PPI Locations: Asia, Pacific
Stock futures were little changed on Sunday, with Wall Street looking toward fresh inflation data this week. Futures tied to the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures hovered near the flatline. Investors will look for insights into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy moving forward with April's consumer price index report due out on Wednesday. Results so far have helped stocks remain resilient despite the inflation overhang. 92% of S&P 500 companies have reported as of Friday, with neatly 80% of firms surpassing Wall Street forecasts, per FactSet data.
Persons: Dow, Venu Krishna Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Traders, Fed, Wall, Barclays Locations: New York City
Traders fear that elevated rates will uphold painfully high borrowing costs for consumers, squeeze corporate profit and weigh down the market. The labor market has stayed strong, consumers have continued spending and stocks have notched repeated record highs. The April jobs report was a welcome sign that the labor market is cooling without cratering. The labor market added just 175,000 positions last month, marking its lowest tally since October 2023 and a sharp cooldown from the upwardly revised 315,000 jobs added in March. First-time applications for unemployment benefits climbed last week to 231,000, the highest level since last August, in another sign that the labor market is cooling.
Persons: , , Jeff Buchbinder, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, April’s, David Russell, Matt Egan, Wally Adeyemo, Read, Diksha Madhok, Narendra Modi, Modi, Mukesh Ambani, Gautam Adani, Ambani, Ji, ” Modi, Rahul Gandhi Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Traders, CNN, Fed, LPL, ” Treasury, Treasury, Reliance Industries, Adani, Indian National Congress Locations: New York, Thursday’s, , India
DavidCallanAsia-Pacific markets are mixed on Wednesday, mirroring moves in Wall Street's Tuesday session. Investors in the region will parse through earnings reports including those of Japanese giants Toyota and Mitsubishi, as well as Singapore's UOB. Traders will also brace for key economic data out of China and Japan on Thursday, with China releasing its April trade data and Japan announcing its March pay statistics. Japan's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.33% on its open, while the broad based Topix was down 0.3%. South Korea's Kospi extended gains and rose 0.1% after leading Asian markets on Tuesday.
Persons: HSI Organizations: Toyota, Mitsubishi, Traders, Nikkei Locations: DavidCallan Asia, Pacific, Wall, China, Japan
5 things to know before the stock market Monday, May 6
  + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Michele Luhn | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Feeling optimisticStock futures were higher Monday after ending last week on a positive note in light of a weaker-than-expected jobs report. Last week, the Dow and Nasdaq rose 1.1% and 1.4%, respectively, while the S&P 500 added 0.5%. Buffett's back, all rightWarren Buffett speaks during the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on May 4, 2024. During the meeting, Buffett also fielded questions from shareholders, opined on the future of artificial intelligence and praised Fed Chair Jerome Powell for his work steering the economy. Final verdictCombination showing Former FTX CEO, Sam Bankman-Fried (L) and Zhao Changpeng (R), founder and chief executive officer of Binance.
Persons: Joseph Prezioso, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Buffett, Greg Abel, Jerome Powell, Sam Bankman, Zhao Changpeng, Mike Segar, Benjamin Girette, Changpeng Zhao, Zhao, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Traders, Federal Reserve, Disney, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Berkshire, CNBC, Oracle, Berkshire Hathaway's, Paramount, Reuters, Bloomberg Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, San Rafael , California
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 66 points, or around 0.2%. Last week, the Dow and Nasdaq gained 1.1% and 1.4% each, while the S&P 500 gained 0.5%. But the April jobs report helps clear a path to that destination," said Comerica Bank chief economist Bill Adams. While the peak of the first-quarter earnings season has passed, investors are still watching key companies set to report this week, including Dow member Disney on Tuesday and Uber on Wednesday. On the economic front, Richmond Fed president Tom Barkin and New York Fed president John Williams are both scheduled to speak on Monday.
Persons: Dow, Bill Adams, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Uber, Emmanuel Cau, Tom Barkin, John Williams Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Traders, Comerica Bank, Apple, Disney, Barclays, Richmond Fed, New York Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, U.S . U.S
Sell in May and go away? Think again
  + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
New York CNN —It’s “sell in May and go away” season. All three major indexes broke five-month winning streaks as hotter-than-expected inflation data stoked fears that interest rate cuts will come later than forecast. The central bank kept interest rates on hold at a 23-year high at its policy meeting. Persistent inflation has kept long-anticipated rate cuts on the backburner. Tesla “has let our entire charging org go,” William Navarro Jameson, strategic charging programs lead at Tesla, wrote on X.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, , Alex McGrath, Larry Tentarelli, Bryan Mena, it’s, Read, Tesla, Tesla “, ” William Navarro Jameson, Lane Chaplin, Hanna Ziady, Peter Valdes Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, The, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Wednesday, Traders, Blue, Carson Group, Research, Federal Reserve, Fed, Motors, Ford, Tesla Locations: New York
Markets are widely expecting the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged. The outlook for rate cuts this year continues to sour, with traders pricing in just one or two cuts by December. AdvertisementUS stocks were mostly lower on Wednesday as traders waited for the Federal Reserve to announce its next move on interest rates. Investors have also dialed back their outlook for rate cuts throughout the year. At Wednesday's meeting, market watchers expect Powell to formally confirm this shift from the FOMC, which had previously forecast three rate cuts this year," Alex Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro said in a note.
Persons: Stocks, , Richard Flynn, Charles Schwab, Powell, Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Open Markets, Traders
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was less than one basis point higher to 4.6862%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 5.0373% after dipping by around one basis point, holding above the 5% mark it crossed Tuesday. U.S. Treasury yields held steady on Wednesday, as investors awaited economic data and the Federal Reserve's latest interest rate decision and monetary policy guidance. The Fed is widely expected to keep rates unchanged, and investors are hoping that officials will provide fresh signals about the potential path ahead for interest rates. Uncertainty has grown in recent weeks about the possibility, number and timing of interest rate cuts this year.
Organizations: Treasury, . U.S, Federal, Fed, Traders Locations: .
Note that the last time, the 10-day moving average crossed above the 21-day moving average was back in late October/early November when the markets were just beginning a new bull run. Based on this thesis I want to make a bearish bet on DIA using a trade structure called a bear put spread. The Trade: DIA is a highly liquid ETF and if you look at its option chain, you will notice that it offers $1 wide strikes. DIA YTD mountain SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust YTD Amazon and Apple report earnings this week. These are all significant market moving events and so a solid risk management plan needs to be in place for any trades taken this week.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Dow, Dow Jones, Trade, DIA, Apple
S&P 500 futures inched higher Sunday night as the broad index came off its best week in several months. Traders are looking ahead to a week with more corporate earnings, key labor data and a Federal Reserve meeting. The S&P 500 jumped 2.7%, notching its best week since November and breaking a three-week negative streak. "However, during the past few weeks, the driver of rates has shifted from better growth tohawkish monetary policy concerns, which has been more difficult for stocks to digest." Monetary policy will take center stage later in the week, with the Fed set to release its latest interest rate announcement on Wednesday.
Persons: David Kostin, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, April's nonfarm Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Traders, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Apple Locations: April's
These events tend to bring participation to the gold market because the commodity is viewed as a haven, he said. However, since the spot gold market is larger than the futures market, there is a tremendous amount of selling and buying volume for trading gold directly, which creates market depth at all times, he said. This creates more opportunities to capitalize by trading gold directly. However, in most cases, given the depth of the spot gold market (XAU/USD), order slippage is minimal, he noted. TradingViewHe emphasized that spot gold is often traded through an over-the-counter broker, and the volume bars may not be visible.
Persons: Shain Vernier, Vernier, isn't, it's, TradingView Organizations: Service, Business, HowToTrade.com, Traders, Bollinger, TradingView Locations: Iran, Israel
Economists polled by Dow Jones forecast GDP growth would come in at 2.4%. Tech tumbleThe lackluster GDP added further pressure to an already-tense market contending with concerns over a pullback in growth among technology earnings. "This report was the worst of both worlds: economic growth is slowing and inflationary pressures are persisting," wrote Chris Zaccarelli, investment chief at Independent Advisor Alliance. Investors are hoping the PCE report, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, will show an improvement in pricing pressures after the March consumer inflation report came in hotter than expected. — Brian Evans8:58 a.m.: 10-year Treasury yield jumps to highest level since NovemberThe 10-year Treasury yield broke above 4.7% following the GDP report, hitting its highest level since November.
Persons: Johannes Eisele, Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Meta, Thierry Wizman, UnitedHealth, Alex Harring, Mark Zuckerberg's, Hakyung Kim, Fred Imbert, Chris Zaccarelli, Sarah Min, — Brian Evans, — Jesse Pound Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, AFP, Getty, Dow Jones, Caterpillar, IBM, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Federal, Traders, Meta, Business Machines, FX, Macquarie, Microsoft, Amazon, Merck, York Stock Exchange, Independent, Alliance, Investors, Treasury, Gross
Americans are falling behind on their payments
  + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Americans are already struggling to keep up with their credit card payments. Strong consumer spending has buoyed the US economy through the Fed’s aggressive hiking cycle that has brought interest rates to a 23-year high. Economists say that Fed officials look closely at Americans’ ability to make their payments. Nunes, himself a former Republican congressman from California, pointed to how Trump Media has been among the most expensive stocks to borrow. “This is particularly troubling given that ‘naked’ short selling often entails sophisticated market participants profiting at the expense of retail investors,” the Trump Media CEO wrote.
Persons: New York CNN —, Austan Goolsbee, ’ ”, , Ramon Laguarta, Matt Egan, Devin Nunes, ” Nunes, Nunes, Read, Hanna Ziady, Colm Kelleher, Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Chicago Federal, Society for, New York Fed, ISI, PepsiCo, Commerce Department, Atlanta Fed, Social, Trump Media, Trump Media & Technology Group, Truth Social, Financial Services, Republican, Traders, UBS, Credit Suisse Locations: New York, California, Switzerland, Swiss
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on April 9, 2024. Stock futures fell sharply Thursday after the latest U.S. economic data showed a sharp slowdown in growth and pointed to persistent inflation. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 419 points or 1.1%. Along with the downbeat growth rate for the quarter, the report showed consumer prices increased at a 3.4% pace, well above the previous quarter's 1.8% advance. Following the GDP print, traders moved down expectations for an easing of Federal Reserve monetary policy.
Persons: Dow Jones, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Dow, Federal Reserve, Federal, Traders
New York CNN —Trump Media & Technology Group is asking Congress to investigate its suspicions that illegal activity is driving down its share price. Nunes, himself a former Republican congressman from California, pointed to how Trump Media has been among the most expensive stocks to borrow. Nunes suggested there are signs of “naked” short selling, which involves someone selling shares they don’t own or have not borrowed. Jay Ritter, a finance professor at the University of Florida, said there are more obvious explanations for why some traders are betting against Trump Media. Last week, Nunes wrote a letter to Nasdaq, where Trump Media shares trade, alerting the exchange to concerns about market manipulation.
Persons: New York CNN —, Devin Nunes, ” Nunes, Nunes, ” Jonathan Macey, Jay Ritter, , Jay Ritter, Ritter, Jane Street, Ken Griffin, “ Devin Nunes, Organizations: New, New York CNN, New York CNN — Trump Media & Technology Group, Truth Social, Trump Media, Financial Services, Republican, Traders, Yale Law School, CNN, University of Florida, ” Trump Media, Trump, Citadel Securities, Virtu, Jane, Capital, Citadel, Nasdaq, CNBC Locations: New York, California, Virtu Americas, America
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on April 09, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures fell on Wednesday night after tech juggernaut Meta Platforms reported its latest quarterly results. S&P 500 futures slid 0.6%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 1.1%. Meta Platforms plunged 15% in extended trading after the social media giant issued second-quarter revenue guidance that was lighter than expected. Fed funds futures trading suggests the first cut could take place at the September Fed meeting, according to CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Dow Jones, Anastasia Amoroso, Northrop Grumman, Myers Squibb Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Traders, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Business Machines, Dow, Federal, FedWatch, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Northrop, American Airlines, Comcast, Merck, Bristol, Myers, CNBC Locations: New York City . U.S
In a previous interview with Business Insider, he explained one of his main strategies: using the Fibonacci retracement tool to trade on price volatility. He aims to place a stop-limit buy order on a contract slightly above a previous high. It's based on the assumption that when the price begins to rally upward, it attracts more traders to the market and increases price action. ET, a time when market participation can increase for the oil market and create unpredictable conditions, he sold earlier at $79.24. He also avoids trading oil contracts when there are headlines about geopolitical instability or a breakout of war because they create uncertainty.
Persons: he's, It's, Vernier Organizations: Business, West Texas, CME Group West Texas, Traders, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Information Administration
There have been some sizeable swings in the stock market lately, both day-to-day and even during single trading sessions. But then around noon ET, the S & P 500 topped out and reversed lower. "Put simply: The S & P Oscillator is our most trusted indicator of how to act during big upswings or huge downdrafts in the market. You don't want to be sitting at your computer, staring at your screen when the major stock market benchmarks are getting knocked all around the place. And, if the flipside is true in an over-bought market, having the courage to trim when emotionally you're thinking let that baby run.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Friday's, , Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael M Organizations: Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago, Getty Locations: Israel, Iran, New York City
Oil prices spiked Friday to levels not seen since October in anticipation of just such an escalation but on Monday were subdued. “It is the most significant chokepoint in the global oil market,” Richard Bronze, co-founder and analyst at data firm Energy Aspects, told CNN. A renewed crackdown would, however, “create upward pressure on global prices” at an inopportune moment, Tagliapietra said. A tight oil marketDespite Iran’s barrage of drones and missiles, the conflict had a relatively muted impact on the global oil market Monday. Oil prices have already risen sharply since hitting a low in early February.
Persons: London CNN —, Brent, Israel —, Simone Tagliapietra, ” Richard Bronze, Tagliapietra, Joe Biden’s, WTI, Russia — Organizations: London CNN, West Texas Intermediate, CNN, International Energy Agency, Hamas, Organization of, Petroleum, United Arab Emirates, Traders Locations: Israel, Iran, Syria, Paris, Gaza, Tehran, Hormuz ‘, Hormuz, Brussels, China, Strait, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, United States, Ukraine, Washington, Damascus, OPEC, Russia, Brazil, Guyana, Canada
U.S. Treasury yields climbed Monday as investors considered the outlook for the economy and looked ahead to fresh data and comments from Federal Reserve officials. Traders also assessed geopolitical tensionsInvestors considered the path ahead for the economy and monetary policy following the latest inflation data and looked to fresh economic reports due in the week ahead. That came as questions about the outlook for the economy as well as Federal Reserve monetary policy and especially interest rate cuts were already widespread. In the week ahead, investors will be looking to economic data for fresh hints about the state of the economy. Various Fed policymakers are also expected to give remarks, which investors will be scanning for clues about the monetary policy outlook.
Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Traders, PPI Locations: East, Iran, Israel
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